the yahngorithm
South Florida
American Athletic
@
UTSA
American Athletic
Week 6 · 2026 · Thu, Oct 8, 6:30 PM CT · Alamodome · indoor
Market spread
Market total
Model spread
Edge

Spread models

No model prediction for this game — usually means one side isn't FBS or ratings weren't available that week.

Totals model

No totals projection for this game.

Situational flags

short weekUTSA5.8d resthurts UTSA
Fewer than 6 days since this team's previous game. Less practice and recovery — a small negative, more so if they also traveled.
short weekSouth Florida5.8d resthurts USF
Fewer than 6 days since this team's previous game. Less practice and recovery — a small negative, more so if they also traveled.

Flags corroborate, they never drive a pick. A flag against a team the model already dislikes is a green light; against a team the model likes, it cancels out. Guide §5.

Team trends · 2026 season to date

USFUTSA
ATS overall1-12-0
ATS at home0-11-0
ATS on the road1-01-0
ATS as favorite0-11-0
ATS as underdog1-01-0
ATS after a win1-01-0
ATS after a loss
W–L at home1-01-0
W–L on the road1-01-0
Over / Under1O–1U1O–1U

Amber = an outlier split (≥65% or ≤35% ATS on 8+ games). Trends are context, not a signal on their own.

Current lines

No sportsbook lines captured for this game yet.

Line movement

No sportsbook lines captured for this game yet.

Prediction market · Kalshi

No Kalshi market matched to this game (it may not be listed, or the teams didn't resolve). Marquee games have the deepest markets.

Injuries

No impact-player injuries listed. ESPN's CFB feed is thin — an empty report means "unknown," not "clean." Guide §4.

Picks

No pick logged. Most model disagreements never become picks — see guide §6 for the bar.

Decision support, not a guarantee. Read the interpretation guide.