the yahngorithmWatch guide
A quadbox plan for the day — the 4 best games to have on at every point, ranked by projected competitiveness, pace, ranked-team stakes, and rivalries. Once games kick off it re-ranks on the live score (ESPN): a one-score game late jumps the board, a blowout drops to the bench.
80 games · 6 viewing windows
11:00 AM CT
161
10OklahomaSEC10
16MichiganBig Ten17MICH +5O/U 43.5 · 23.2 poss
close game (5-pt line)#16 MICH vs. #10 OU
248
Arizona StateBig 1220
8Texas A&MSEC48TA&M -14.5O/U 51.5 · 24.8 poss
#8 TA&M
ASU travel
343
2OregonBig Ten31
Oklahoma StateBig 1239OKST +24O/U 54.5 · 23.3 poss
#2 ORElikely blowout (24-pt line)
ORE travel
442
Wake ForestACC38
PurdueBig Ten36PUR +3O/U 51.5 · 23.1 poss
toss-up (3-pt line)
next best (6)
42
App StateSun Belt27
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic24ECU -6.5O/U 55.5 · 24.1 poss
close game (6.5-pt line)revenge spot
ECU revenge
39
South FloridaAmerican Athletic28
ArmyAmerican Athletic24ARMY -3.5O/U 45.5 · 21.9 poss
close game (3.5-pt line)
37
HowardMEACFCS0
6IndianaBig Ten55IU -58O/U 67.5 · 22.2 poss
shootout pace (67.5 total)#6 IUlikely blowout (58-pt line)
35
Western KentuckyConference USA20
3GeorgiaSEC70UGA -40.5O/U 55.5 · 23.7 poss
#3 UGAlikely blowout (40.5-pt line)
31
Washington StatePac-127
Kansas StateBig 1234KSU -17.5O/U 49 · 23 poss
trap game — upset watch
WSU bad spotWSU short weekWSU travel
30
WoffordSouthernFCS15
Kent StateMid-American36KENT -10O/U 45.5 · 23.2 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
WOF reverse line move
2:30 PM CT
out: ORE, WAKEin: UTSA, ARIZ
167
UTSAAmerican Athletic31
Texas StatePac-1226TXST -2.5O/U 65.5 · 24 poss
toss-up (2.5-pt line)shootout pace (65.5 total)I-35 Rivalryrevenge spot
UTSA revengeextreme heat
261
10OklahomaSEC1016MichiganBig Ten17MICH +5O/U 43.5 · 23.2 poss
close game (5-pt line)#16 MICH vs. #10 OU
353
ArizonaBig 1217
14BYUBig 1228BYU -7O/U 48.5 · 23 poss
close game (7-pt line)#14 BYUrevenge spot
ARIZ revenge
448
Arizona StateBig 12208Texas A&MSEC48TA&M -14.5O/U 51.5 · 24.8 poss
#8 TA&M
ASU travel
next best (6)
47
CaliforniaACC21
SyracuseACC18SYR -3.5O/U 57 · 25 poss
close game (3.5-pt line)revenge spot
CAL travelCAL revenge
47
13AlabamaSEC45
KentuckySEC17UK +9O/U 47 · 22.3 poss
#13 ALA
46
Mississippi StateSEC38
MinnesotaBig Ten13MINN +1O/U 54.5 · 23.5 poss
toss-up (1-pt line)
45
UNLVMountain West6
North TexasAmerican Athletic44UNT +3O/U 57.5 · 23.4 poss
toss-up (3-pt line)
UNLV travelextreme heat
43
2OregonBig Ten31Oklahoma StateBig 1239OKST +24O/U 54.5 · 23.3 poss
#2 ORElikely blowout (24-pt line)
ORE travel
42
Wake ForestACC38PurdueBig Ten36PUR +3O/U 51.5 · 23.1 poss
toss-up (3-pt line)
4:30 PM CT
out: OU, ASUin: CAL, ALA
167
UTSAAmerican Athletic31Texas StatePac-1226TXST -2.5O/U 65.5 · 24 poss
toss-up (2.5-pt line)shootout pace (65.5 total)I-35 Rivalryrevenge spot
UTSA revengeextreme heat
253
ArizonaBig 121714BYUBig 1228BYU -7O/U 48.5 · 23 poss
close game (7-pt line)#14 BYUrevenge spot
ARIZ revenge
347
CaliforniaACC21SyracuseACC18SYR -3.5O/U 57 · 25 poss
close game (3.5-pt line)revenge spot
CAL travelCAL revenge
447
13AlabamaSEC45KentuckySEC17UK +9O/U 47 · 22.3 poss
#13 ALA
next best (6)
46
Mississippi StateSEC38MinnesotaBig Ten13MINN +1O/U 54.5 · 23.5 poss
toss-up (1-pt line)
45
UNLVMountain West6North TexasAmerican Athletic44UNT +3O/U 57.5 · 23.4 poss
toss-up (3-pt line)
UNLV travelextreme heat
43
Jacksonville StateConference USA27
OhioMid-American29OHIO -2O/U 50.5 · 22.3 poss
toss-up (2-pt line)
38
UCFBig 127
PittsburghACC12PITT -7O/U 55.5 · 24.3 poss
close game (7-pt line)
37
DukeACC31
IllinoisBig Ten27ILL -6.5O/U 51.5 · 21.4 poss
close game (6.5-pt line)
36
MarylandBig Ten38
UConnFBS Independents14CONN +11.5O/U 52.5 · 24.2 poss
lookahead/letdown spot — upset watch
MD lookahead
6:30 PM CT
out: UTSA, ARIZ, CAL, ALAin: OSU, NAVY, ISU, JXST
176
1Ohio StateBig Ten23
5TexasSEC24TEX -2O/U 50.5 · 21.6 poss
toss-up (2-pt line)#5 TEX vs. #1 OSUrevenge spot
TEX revengeextreme heat
247
NavyAmerican Athletic30
Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic38FAU +4O/U 59.5 · 22 poss
close game (4-pt line)revenge spot
FAU revengeheavy rain
346
Iowa StateBig 1213
22IowaBig Ten16IOWA -14O/U 42.5 · 22.2 poss
Cy-Hawk Trophyrevenge spot
IOWA revenge
443
Jacksonville StateConference USA27OhioMid-American29OHIO -2O/U 50.5 · 22.3 poss
toss-up (2-pt line)
next best (6)
41
Illinois StateMVFCFCS28
Northern IllinoisMountain West24NIU +2.5O/U 47.5 · 23.5 poss
toss-up (2.5-pt line)
NIU reverse line move
39
20TennesseeSEC45
Georgia TechACC24GT +12O/U 55.5 · 22.3 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
38
Georgia StateSun Belt31
Kennesaw StateConference USA17KENN -7.5O/U 55.5 · 24.3 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
36
MemphisAmerican Athletic20
Boise StatePac-1238BOIS -8.5O/U 54.5 · 24.4 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
MEM travel
35
CharlotteAmerican Athletic9
9Ole MissSEC41MISS -44.5O/U 59.5 · 24.2 poss
#9 MISSlookahead/letdown spot — upset watchlikely blowout (44.5-pt line)
MISS lookahead
34
South AlabamaSun Belt24
TulaneAmerican Athletic28TULN -9.5O/U 48 · 23 poss
revenge spot
USA revenge
9:00 PM CT
out: JXSTin: NDSU
176
1Ohio StateBig Ten235TexasSEC24TEX -2O/U 50.5 · 21.6 poss
toss-up (2-pt line)#5 TEX vs. #1 OSUrevenge spot
TEX revengeextreme heat
247
NavyAmerican Athletic30Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic38FAU +4O/U 59.5 · 22 poss
close game (4-pt line)revenge spot
FAU revengeheavy rain
346
Iowa StateBig 121322IowaBig Ten16IOWA -14O/U 42.5 · 22.2 poss
Cy-Hawk Trophyrevenge spot
IOWA revenge
442
North Dakota StateMountain West38
Air ForceMountain West32AF +1.5O/U 47.5 · 19.1 poss
toss-up (1.5-pt line)
next best (6)
41
Illinois StateMVFCFCS28Northern IllinoisMountain West24NIU +2.5O/U 47.5 · 23.5 poss
toss-up (2.5-pt line)
NIU reverse line move
40
Montana StateBig SkyFCS20
NevadaMountain West7NEV +4.5O/U 51.5 · 23 poss
close game (4.5-pt line)
39
20TennesseeSEC45Georgia TechACC24GT +12O/U 55.5 · 22.3 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
38
Georgia StateSun Belt31Kennesaw StateConference USA17KENN -7.5O/U 55.5 · 24.3 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
37
ArkansasSEC10
21UtahBig 1243UTAH -12.5O/U 55.5 · 23 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
35
CharlotteAmerican Athletic99Ole MissSEC41MISS -44.5O/U 59.5 · 24.2 poss
#9 MISSlookahead/letdown spot — upset watchlikely blowout (44.5-pt line)
MISS lookahead
10:59 PM CTnow
out: OSU, NAVY, ISUin: MTST, ARK, NMSU
142
North Dakota StateMountain West38Air ForceMountain West32AF +1.5O/U 47.5 · 19.1 poss
toss-up (1.5-pt line)
240
Montana StateBig SkyFCS20NevadaMountain West7NEV +4.5O/U 51.5 · 23 poss
close game (4.5-pt line)
337
ArkansasSEC1021UtahBig 1243UTAH -12.5O/U 55.5 · 23 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
436
New Mexico StateConference USA19
Hawai'iMountain West29HAW -7O/U 50 · 24.2 poss
close game (7-pt line)
NMSU travel
next best (4)
25
Cal PolyBig SkyFCS20
San José StateMountain West30SJSU -21.5O/U 58.5 · 24.1 poss
lookahead/letdown spot — upset watch
SJSU letdown
24
LouisianaSun Belt30
14USCBig Ten49USC -31O/U 59 · 21.5 poss
#14 USClikely blowout (31-pt line)
UL travel
19
Sacramento StateMid-American3
Fresno StatePac-1249FRES -17.5O/U 44.5 · 26 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
10
Texas SouthernSWACFCS10
UTEPMountain West51UTEP -27O/U 52.5 · 24.7 poss
likely blowout (27-pt line)
Windows use an estimated ~3h40m per game and a 45-min kickoff-clustering window, and change only when the top 4 actually change. Live scores come from ESPN on each refresh — a finished game frees its slot, an in-progress one holds it even if it runs long. Once a later window starts, the finished ones collapse into “earlier windows today.”