the yahngorithmWatch guide
A quadbox plan for the day — the 4 best games to have on at every point, ranked by projected competitiveness, pace, ranked-team stakes, and rivalries. Once games kick off it re-ranks on the live score (ESPN): a one-score game late jumps the board, a blowout drops to the bench.
Week 1· 2026›
↩ this week (3)Saturday, Aug 29 (8)Thursday, Sep 3 (11)Friday, Sep 4 (8)Saturday, Sep 5 (68)Sunday, Sep 6 (3)Monday, Sep 7 (1)
68 games · 7 viewing windows
11:00 AM CT
141
Tarleton StateUACFCS20
Bowling GreenMid-American13BGSU -2.5O/U 48.5 · 23.5 poss
toss-up (2.5-pt line)
238
Ball StateMid-American3
1Ohio StateBig Ten56OSU -50O/U 55 · 21.5 poss
#1 OSUlikely blowout (50-pt line)
337
LibertyConference USA13
James MadisonSun Belt20JMU -6.5O/U 50.5 · 23.7 poss
close game (6.5-pt line)
432
North TexasAmerican Athletic16
6IndianaBig Ten52IU -40O/U 56.5 · 22.9 poss
#6 IUlikely blowout (40-pt line)
next best (6)
24
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic10
13AlabamaSEC48ALA -28O/U 52.5 · 23.4 poss
#13 ALAlikely blowout (28-pt line)
extreme heat
22
Miami (OH)Mid-American14
PittsburghACC59PITT -16.5O/U 47.5 · 24.2 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
heavy rain
21
Oregon StatePac-1220
23HoustonBig 1233HOU -21O/U 50.5 · 24.8 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
ORST travel
19
Coastal CarolinaSun Belt24
West VirginiaBig 1231WVU -21O/U 54.5 · 26.6 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
17
LafayettePatriotFCS7
UConnFBS Independents56CONN -21.5O/U 51.5 · 23.4 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
12
OhioMid-American21
NebraskaBig Ten49NEB -24O/U 47.5 · 22 poss
likely blowout (24-pt line)
2:00 PM CT
out: BALL, LIB, UNTin: BOIS, BAY, TXST
141
Tarleton StateUACFCS20Bowling GreenMid-American13BGSU -2.5O/U 48.5 · 23.5 poss
toss-up (2.5-pt line)
241
Boise StatePac-1227
2OregonBig Ten34ORE -25O/U 51.5 · 23.4 poss
#2 ORElikely blowout (25-pt line)
340
BaylorBig 1216
AuburnSEC17AUB -6.5O/U 58.5 · 23.3 poss
close game (6.5-pt line)
440
Texas StatePac-127
5TexasSEC59TEX -29.5O/U 61 · 23.9 poss
#5 TEXlookahead/letdown spot — upset watchlikely blowout (29.5-pt line)
TEX lookaheadextreme heat
next best (6)
38
Ball StateMid-American31Ohio StateBig Ten56OSU -50O/U 55 · 21.5 poss
#1 OSUlikely blowout (50-pt line)
37
LibertyConference USA13James MadisonSun Belt20JMU -6.5O/U 50.5 · 23.7 poss
close game (6.5-pt line)
36
TulaneAmerican Athletic3
DukeACC17DUKE -9.5O/U 51.5 · 22.7 poss
revenge spot
DUKE steamDUKE revenge
36
Boston CollegeACC15
CincinnatiBig 1234CIN -7O/U 51.5 · 22.8 poss
close game (7-pt line)
35
Tennessee StateOVCFCS3
3GeorgiaSEC63UGA -48.5O/U 55.5 · 22.7 poss
#3 UGAlikely blowout (48.5-pt line)
extreme heat
33
Oklahoma StateBig 1210
TulsaAmerican Athletic24TLSA +13.5O/U 57.5 · 24.4 poss
revenge spot
OKST revengeextreme heat
3:15 PM CT
out: TARin: TULN
141
Boise StatePac-12272OregonBig Ten34ORE -25O/U 51.5 · 23.4 poss
#2 ORElikely blowout (25-pt line)
240
BaylorBig 1216AuburnSEC17AUB -6.5O/U 58.5 · 23.3 poss
close game (6.5-pt line)
340
Texas StatePac-1275TexasSEC59TEX -29.5O/U 61 · 23.9 poss
#5 TEXlookahead/letdown spot — upset watchlikely blowout (29.5-pt line)
TEX lookaheadextreme heat
436
TulaneAmerican Athletic3DukeACC17DUKE -9.5O/U 51.5 · 22.7 poss
revenge spot
DUKE steamDUKE revenge
next best (6)
36
Boston CollegeACC15CincinnatiBig 1234CIN -7O/U 51.5 · 22.8 poss
close game (7-pt line)
35
Tennessee StateOVCFCS33GeorgiaSEC63UGA -48.5O/U 55.5 · 22.7 poss
#3 UGAlikely blowout (48.5-pt line)
extreme heat
33
Oklahoma StateBig 1210TulsaAmerican Athletic24TLSA +13.5O/U 57.5 · 24.4 poss
revenge spot
OKST revengeextreme heat
26
Rhode IslandCoastal AthleticFCS14
TempleAmerican Athletic38TEM -14.5O/U 51.5 · 22 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
24
Youngstown StateMVFCFCS13
KentuckySEC45UK -23O/U 61.5 · 23.3 poss
lookahead/letdown spot — upset watch
UK lookaheadextreme heat
24
MarshallSun Belt0
18Penn StateBig Ten45PSU -23.5O/U 53 · 22.8 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
5:00 PM CT
out: TULNin: WYO
157
WyomingMountain West13
Colorado StatePac-1235CSU -3O/U 46 · 23.1 poss
toss-up (3-pt line)Border War (Bronze Boot)revenge spot
CSU revenge
241
Boise StatePac-12272OregonBig Ten34ORE -25O/U 51.5 · 23.4 poss
#2 ORElikely blowout (25-pt line)
340
BaylorBig 1216AuburnSEC17AUB -6.5O/U 58.5 · 23.3 poss
close game (6.5-pt line)
440
Texas StatePac-1275TexasSEC59TEX -29.5O/U 61 · 23.9 poss
#5 TEXlookahead/letdown spot — upset watchlikely blowout (29.5-pt line)
TEX lookaheadextreme heat
next best (6)
36
TulaneAmerican Athletic3DukeACC17DUKE -9.5O/U 51.5 · 22.7 poss
revenge spot
DUKE steamDUKE revenge
36
Boston CollegeACC15CincinnatiBig 1234CIN -7O/U 51.5 · 22.8 poss
close game (7-pt line)
35
Tennessee StateOVCFCS33GeorgiaSEC63UGA -48.5O/U 55.5 · 22.7 poss
#3 UGAlikely blowout (48.5-pt line)
extreme heat
33
Oklahoma StateBig 1210TulsaAmerican Athletic24TLSA +13.5O/U 57.5 · 24.4 poss
revenge spot
OKST revengeextreme heat
24
MarshallSun Belt018Penn StateBig Ten45PSU -23.5O/U 53 · 22.8 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
20
FurmanSouthernFCS9
20TennesseeSEC56TENN -48.5O/U 66.5 · 23.2 poss
shootout pace (66.5 total)likely blowout (48.5-pt line)
6:00 PM CT
out: TXSTin: CLEM
157
WyomingMountain West13Colorado StatePac-1235CSU -3O/U 46 · 23.1 poss
toss-up (3-pt line)Border War (Bronze Boot)revenge spot
CSU revenge
252
ClemsonACC10
11LSUSEC51LSU -10O/U 49.5 · 23.1 poss
#11 LSUrevenge spot
CLEM revenge
341
Boise StatePac-12272OregonBig Ten34ORE -25O/U 51.5 · 23.4 poss
#2 ORElikely blowout (25-pt line)
440
BaylorBig 1216AuburnSEC17AUB -6.5O/U 58.5 · 23.3 poss
close game (6.5-pt line)
next best (6)
40
Texas StatePac-1275TexasSEC59TEX -29.5O/U 61 · 23.9 poss
#5 TEXlookahead/letdown spot — upset watchlikely blowout (29.5-pt line)
TEX lookaheadextreme heat
37
Arkansas StateSun Belt24
MemphisAmerican Athletic42MEM -10.5O/U 52.5 · 23.8 poss
lookahead/letdown spot — upset watch
MEM letdownextreme heat
36
TulaneAmerican Athletic3DukeACC17DUKE -9.5O/U 51.5 · 22.7 poss
revenge spot
DUKE steamDUKE revenge
36
Boston CollegeACC15CincinnatiBig 1234CIN -7O/U 51.5 · 22.8 poss
close game (7-pt line)
33
Oklahoma StateBig 1210TulsaAmerican Athletic24TLSA +13.5O/U 57.5 · 24.4 poss
revenge spot
OKST revengeextreme heat
28
Idaho StateBig SkyFCS29
Utah StatePac-1217USU -15.5O/U 58.5 · 24.4 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
7:00 PM CT
out: BOIS, BAYin: ARST, IDST
157
WyomingMountain West13Colorado StatePac-1235CSU -3O/U 46 · 23.1 poss
toss-up (3-pt line)Border War (Bronze Boot)revenge spot
CSU revenge
252
ClemsonACC1011LSUSEC51LSU -10O/U 49.5 · 23.1 poss
#11 LSUrevenge spot
CLEM revenge
337
Arkansas StateSun Belt24MemphisAmerican Athletic42MEM -10.5O/U 52.5 · 23.8 poss
lookahead/letdown spot — upset watch
MEM letdownextreme heat
428
Idaho StateBig SkyFCS29Utah StatePac-1217USU -15.5O/U 58.5 · 24.4 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
next best (6)
28
Missouri StateConference USA0
8Texas A&MSEC50TA&M -40.5O/U 53.5 · 24.5 poss
#8 TA&Mlikely blowout (40.5-pt line)
extreme heat
28
SE LouisianaSouthlandFCS14
South AlabamaSun Belt39USA -13.5O/U 53.5 · 23 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
27
Florida InternationalConference USA9
South FloridaAmerican Athletic19USF -14.5O/U 53 · 25.4 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
27
Abilene ChristianUACFCS10
12Texas TechBig 1233TTU -44.5O/U 60.5 · 24.8 poss
#12 TTUlikely blowout (44.5-pt line)
26
South Dakota StateMVFCFCS18
NorthwesternBig Ten34NU -14O/U 49.5 · 21.7 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
NU steam
25
Western MichiganMid-American12
16MichiganBig Ten13MICH -27.5O/U 49.5 · 22.7 poss
#16 MICHlookahead/letdown spot — upset watchlikely blowout (27.5-pt line)
MICH lookahead
9:00 PM CTnow
out: WYO, ARST, IDSTin: WKU, UNLV, UCLA
152
ClemsonACC1011LSUSEC51LSU -10O/U 49.5 · 23.1 poss
#11 LSUrevenge spot
CLEM revenge
246
Western KentuckyConference USA14
NevadaMountain West49NEV PKO/U 51.5 · 23.8 poss
toss-up (0-pt line)
WKU travel
344
UNLVMountain West21
Hawai'iMountain West6HAW +2.5O/U 55 · 23.8 poss
toss-up (2.5-pt line)
UNLV travel
443
UCLABig Ten45
CaliforniaACC24CAL +2.5O/U 53.5 · 22.1 poss
toss-up (2.5-pt line)
next best (6)
37
Arkansas StateSun Belt24MemphisAmerican Athletic42MEM -10.5O/U 52.5 · 23.8 poss
lookahead/letdown spot — upset watch
MEM letdownextreme heat
30
Central MichiganMid-American7
New MexicoMountain West38UNM -10.5O/U 47.5 · 22.4 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
CMU travel
28
Idaho StateBig SkyFCS29Utah StatePac-1217USU -15.5O/U 58.5 · 24.4 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
28
Missouri StateConference USA08Texas A&MSEC50TA&M -40.5O/U 53.5 · 24.5 poss
#8 TA&Mlikely blowout (40.5-pt line)
extreme heat
28
SE LouisianaSouthlandFCS14South AlabamaSun Belt39USA -13.5O/U 53.5 · 23 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
27
Florida InternationalConference USA9South FloridaAmerican Athletic19USF -14.5O/U 53 · 25.4 poss
nothing standing out — a default watch
Windows use an estimated ~3h40m per game and a 45-min kickoff-clustering window, and change only when the top 4 actually change. Live scores come from ESPN on each refresh — a finished game frees its slot, an in-progress one holds it even if it runs long. Once a later window starts, the finished ones collapse into “earlier windows today.”